So, why not crunch the numbers? The data are from all two-legged Champions League knockout fixtures. The first column gives you the fist-leg result from the perspective of the home team, the second column gives the percentage of times that the team which was at home in the first leg won the overall fixture, and the third column gives the number of observations.

0-3 0% n=2

0-2 0% n=3

2-3 0% n=1

1-2 0% n=3

0-1 9.1% n=11

4-4 0% n=1

3-3 0% n=1

2-2 20% n=5

1-1 37.5% n=16

0-0 29.4% n=17

3-2 0% n=4

2-1 30% n=10

1-0 58.3% n=12

4-2 50% n=2

3-1 83.3% n=6

2-0 100% n=11

5-2 100% n=1

4-1 100% n=2

3-0 100% n=1

4-0 100% n=1

Of course, the number of observations is small in many cases, so I wouldn't use this to argue that, say, 5-2 is just as good a result as 4-0, but I will say that 0-0 away is a good result. Take that, Michael.

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